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The Effect of Ex-Ante Management Forecast Accuracy on Post-Earnings Announcement Drift

This paper examines the effect of ex-ante management forecast accuracy on post-earnings announcement drift when management forecasts about next quarter's earnings are bundled with the current quarter's earnings announcements. This paper builds a composite measure of ex-ante management forecast accuracy that takes into account forecast ability, forecast difficulty and forecast environment. The results show that the bundled forecasts can mitigate investors' under-reaction to current earnings and reduce the magnitude of post earnings announcement drift only when these forecasts have high ex-ante accuracy.

Speaker: Ms Li Zhang
PhD Candidate, London Business School
When:
2.00 pm - 3.30 pm
Venue: School of Accountancy [Map] Level 4, Meeting Room 4.1
Contact: Office of the Dean
Email: SOAR@smu.edu.sg