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Particles, Pollutions and Prices

We investigate whether a sentiment effect arising from poor air quality impacts stock prices. We find little evidence suggesting that local air quality directly affects stock prices. However, we show that the local air quality index (which is increasing in air pollution) relative to that of Beijing negatively affects stock prices. We apply a discontinuity design that focuses on observations with relative air quality index falling in the narrow band around zero and find a consistent result. Additional analysis unveils a small subsequent reversal in returns in response to the relative air quality. Further, the relative air quality index also negatively affects trading volume. Finally, we show that the negative association between stock prices and the air quality index is not affected by economic fundamentals or investor sophistication. In sum, our findings suggest that poor air quality negatively affects stock prices and investor trading activities.

Speaker: Dr Oliver Li

Professor, National University of Singapore
When:
3.30 pm - 5.00 pm
Venue: School of Accountancy [Map] Level 4, Meeting Room 4.1
Contact: Office of the Dean
Email: SOAR@smu.edu.sg